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WILD TURKEY HENS KILLED IN MISSOURI

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To maintain a balance approximately 2.5 poults per hen must be produce. When this ratio drops below 2.5 a population is decline indicated and when it goes above 2.5 an increase occurs.
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FAMED Tennessee biologist Jack Murray – “If you don’t have hens, you won’t have any gobblers and if you don’t have gobblers, you don’t have hunters.”



Missouri Department of Conservation Quail Biologist - if 6% of the quail are making thru the breeding season it just COMPOUNDS THE NUMBER OF NEST AND NEST SUCCESS. Waterfowl Hens and Pheasant Hens are limited in harvest, only Wild Turkey in Missouri does this not apply. Except for 1960 thru 1978 when Missouri as the wild turkey population was still growing and not able to sustain hen harvest.


Only 21% of nests successfully hatched! Only 23% of poults surviving! - The 80s, that was closer to 46%.”
Which lower than the previous 5-year study in Northern Missouri.

​Wild Turkey Biologist - 78% nest initiation and 20% nest success. Not sustainable unless adult survival is incredibly high, which we know it isn’t. 

WILD TURKEY RESEARCH

​This implies that fall hunting may affect future turkey populations. SHOOTHING ADULT TURKEYS IN POOR PRODUCTION YEARS MAY REDUCE THE NUMBER OF HENS AVAILABLE TO NEST as well as reduce gobbler numbers available to hunters. A REDUCTION IN HENS COULD REDUCE RECRUITMENT AND TOTAL TURKEY NUMBERS FURTHER AND PROLONG THE RECOVER FROM POOR PRODUCTION THAN WOULD HAVE OCCURRED WITHOUT FALL HUNTING.
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Mr. Morris:

Your request for the number of turkey hens killed in fall, archery and spring seasons from 1998 to 2022 will take staff approximately seven hours to gather.

The data is contained in two different databases and will have to be extracted by staff.

One database contains the data from 1998 to 2005 and the other contains the data from 2005 to present.

Because of the amount of time staff will spend gathering your requested data, MDC requests prepayment of $120.00. Gathering the hen data from each database should take approximately 3.5 hours per database. Therefore, if you would like to opt for just one set of data, the 1995-2005 or the 2005-2022, the price would be $60.00 for each.

Once prepayment has been received, we will let the record keeper know they should begin working with database managers to gather the records.

Please note: Because our lead scientist involved in fulfilling the request is leaving the Department in mid-June, and will be out of the office much of the time in June prior to her departure, we would recommend that you provide payment by the end of this week in order to receive the records by June 3.

​If we receive repayment after this Friday, gathering of the records may be delayed by several weeks.


​Isn't it interesting that Killing a Wild Turkey Hen in Missouri doesn't matter to population, per past two MDC Biologist and Missouri NWTF Biologist, in presentation to public, interviews, and to the conservation commission!

But they don't know how many have been killed without 7 more hours of looking it up?

So has the 4 members of the MISSOURI CONSERVATION COMMISSION never seen the data?

Before: You read the data below:
​Please write down the Biological Reason for shooting a Wild Turkey Hen during a population decline!!!

FREE TO ALL Missouri Turkey Hunters, Landowners and Conservationist

I used the money, I typically use for habitat management on my property to pay for this information.

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The NO. 1 Wild Turkey Biologist "Mike Chamberlain" in country says there is no Biological reason to kill the hens in Missouri for past 5 years in Missouri during a decline of population.

STOP the DECLINE
2016 thru 2021 - Poult Production is at an historical low in Missouri - Their is NO biologicial reason to kill wild turkey hens durning a decline in population during low poult production.

“Because turkey abundance is driven by production" DEAD HENS DON’T LAY EGGS - If they cannot replace themselves in the short term or long term RIGHT NOW per MDC 5-year search - dead hen definitely will not.

The North American Wildlife Conservation Model

Wildlife is managed under the principles of The North American Wildlife Conservation Model. The Model should not be exclusive to wildlife or game species but invasive also.
 
In cases where population ****REDUCTION***** is the management goal, managers must implement *****FEMALE***** harvest beyond the level at which the population can replace itself in the short-term.
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May 2021 - MDC Wild Turkey Biologist - Wild Turkey Hens in Missouri are no longer replacing itself short term or possibly in itself lifetime.
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ALDO LEOPOLD - "SURPLUS THEORY"

​The Wild Turkey World has corrupted Aldo Leopold’s theory. – Wild Turkey Hens are going to die anyway – Might as well kill them in the fall.

Nearly 100 years ago Aldo Leopold, the father of game management, coined the term “harvestable surplus.” The intended meaning of the term is that SOME wildlife species and populations may produce more young in a given year than can survive to the following year.

Which as already been proving wrong with wild turkey decline – Wild Turkey Hens are NOT producing enough young in past 20 years in Missouri!

Those individuals doomed to die over the winter, for example, represent the “surplus” in the population. Leopold observed that those surplus animals could be killed by hunters during the fall, instead of succumbing to winter mortality, and there would be little impact on the population. So, in theory, hunting would be sustainable because the population would not change.

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Before: You read the information below:
​Please write down the research that shows shooting a Wild Turkey Hen during a population decline has zero implications to the population!!!  - Not models done on a computer behind a desk but field study!
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EFFECTS OF FALL EITHER-SEX HUNTING ON SURVIVAL IN IOWA WILD TURKEY POPULATION

Survival rates and patterns we observed before the initiation of fall hunting were not unusual.

Annual survival rates were >50% for adult turkeys. Spring hunting caused the greatest mortality in males, and a combination of illegal spring hunting and
 PREDATION DURNING NESTING/BROOD-REARING ACTIVITES CAUSED THE MOST HENS DEATHS.
 
Juveniles of both sexes were exposed to heavier predation during the fall than adults were, and
to legal and illegal hunting-related mortality during the spring-hunting season, but annual
survival rates were not greatly different for juveniles and adults of either sex.
 
Reported similar annual or seasonal mortality rates, patterns, or causes of death for radio-tagged eastern turkeys Missouri.

The fall-to-spring survival rates we observed for AM suggest that fall hunting may reduce the number of gobblers available to spring hunters, i.e., most AM shot in the fall would otherwise be alive the following spring.

 
Fall hunting would not affect turkey populations IF FALL HUNTING MORTALITY IS COMPENSATORY that is, if there is a compensating increase in survival during other periods of the year to offset fall hunting, or if birds shot by fall hunters would have died anyway to some other agent. NEITHER OF THESE SITUATION EXISTED DURING THIS STUDY. AVERAGE ANNUAL SURVIVAL RATES OF ALL AGE-SEX CLASSES DECLINED AFTER FALL HUNTERS WAS INTRODUCED.
 
This implies that fall hunting may affect future turkey populations
. SHOOTHING ADULT TURKEYS IN POOR PRODUCTION YEARS MAY REDUCE THE NUMBER OF HENS AVAILABLE TO NEST as well as reduce gobbler numbers available to hunters. A REDUCTION IN HENS COULD REDUCE RECRUITMENT AND TOTAL TURKEY NUMBERS FURTHER AND PROLONG THE RECOVER FROM POOR PRODUCTION THAN WOULD HAVE OCCURRED WITHOUT FALL HUNTING.

Missouri Spring Season – History of totals for the 3 and 2 week regular season – 38 years of statewide season.
Youth Season not included due to the fact youth season didn’t always exist.
2022 -   Turkeys 33,322 plus - ranks 30th
2021 – Turkeys 31,800 ranks 35th
2020 – Turkeys 38,737 ranks 20th
2019 – Turkeys 36,265 ranks 25th
2018 – Turkeys 34,082 ranks 29th
2017 – Turkeys 39,283 ranks 19th
2016 – Turkeys 44,207 ranks 11th
2015 – Turkeys 43,991 ranks 12th
2014 – Turkeys 43,273 ranks 14th
2013 – Turkeys 42,220 ranks 16th
2012 – Turkeys 40,447 ranks 18th
2011 – Turkeys 38,327 ranks 21st
2010 – Turkeys 42,254 ranks 15th
2009 – Turkeys 41,830 ranks 17th
2008 – Turkeys 43,416 ranks 13th
2007 – Turkeys 44,927 ranks 10th
2006 – Turkeys 51,018 ranks 7th
2005 – Turkeys 53,849 ranks 6th
2004 – Turkeys 57,486 ranks 1st (Most Turkeys ever killed)
2003 – Turkeys 54,761 ranks 4th
2002 -   Turkeys 53,932 ranks 5th
2001 -   Turkeys 55,302 ranks 3rd – First youth season started this year.
2000 -   Turkeys 56,841 ranks 2nd
1999 -   Turkeys 50,299 ranks 8th
1998 -   Turkeys 48,462 ranks 9th
1997 -   Turkeys 33,216 – ranks 31st - Last Two-Week Season
1996 -   Turkeys 37,708 - ranks 23rd
1995 -   Turkeys 37,472 – ranks 24th
1994 -   Turkeys 37,721 – ranks 22nd
1993 -   Turkeys 34,342 – ranks 28th
1992 -   Turkeys 33,035 – ranks 33rd
1991 – Turkeys  32,237 – ranks 34th
1990 -  Turkeys 30,056 – ranks 37th
1989 – Turkeys 35,618 – ranks 27nd
1988 -  Turkeys 33,187 – ranks 32th
1987 -  Turkeys 35,951 – ranks 26th
1986 -  Turkeys 30,965 – ranks 36th
1985 – Turkeys 24,770 – ranks 38th - 114 Counties - Two Week Season - Spring season expanded to all 114 counties

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Missouri Youth Turkey Season – History of totals. 22 season of 2 days season
2022 Youth Turkey Season Total 2,881 rank 17th
2021 - Youth Turkey Season Total 2,795 rank 18th
2020 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 2,724 rank 19th
2019 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 2,546 rank 20th
2018 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 1,729 – rank 22nd - Lowest Youth Harvest
2017 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 4,012 – rank 5th
2016 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 4,167 – rank 4th
2015 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 4,441 – rank 1st - Highest Youth Harvest
2014 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 4,332 – rank 2nd
2013 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 3,915 – rank 7th
2012 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 4,319 – rank 3rd
2011 – Youth Turkey Season Total – 3,898 – rank 9th
2010 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 3,945 – rank 6th
2009 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 2,884 – rank 16th
2008 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 2,898 – rank 15th
2007 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 3,545 – rank 12th
2006 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 3,694 – rank 10th
2005 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 3,894 – rank 8th
2004 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 3,258 – rank 13th
2003 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 3,660 – rank 11th
2002 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 3,102 – rank 14th
2001 – Youth Turkey Season Total - 2,530 – rank 21st – First Youth Season

2001 First spring youth season - Research dictated that if we are to guard against overharvest of mature gobblers, the spring season must begin after the peak in breeding activity in early April.

MISSOURI YOUTH SEASON GOES AGAINST THE VERY BIOLOGICAL REASON FOR THE DAY THE SEASON OPENS - The season opens Monday closest to April 21st. This corresponds to the historical records of the second peak Missouri Ozark Gobbling. This is the biological reason for the opening day.
Which may lead to the great successes in turkey population because the hens get to breed with the dominate birds with the first peak gobbling.

So Biological Reason no longer exist - Why not open the season the SATURDAY AND SUNDAY before the Monday closets to April 21st for Biological Reason! (Example too early: April 4 and 5 – 2020 Youth Season)

As the wild turkey population grows the season expanded, but as population decline nothing allowed to change in Missouri?


When the youth season was study – Only Hunter Recruitment and Hunter Retention was consider, the wild turkey population was never consider in research done in Missouri.

Nest success and poult survival are keys to turkey population trends.

Turkeys have a complex mating system. Toms begin gobbling and strutting in March to determine their pecking order before breeding begins in early April.

If the boss gobbler is killed, the others in his close group may not be able to breed hens immediately. Hens don’t just breed with the next gobbler available.

Letting dominant toms get most hens bred in late early April gives the local population its best chance at more successful nests and putting the greatest number of poults on the ground at the same time.
Jakes will try to breed, but their sperm isn’t viable.

A nest is less likely to contain any infertile eggs if the hen was bred multiple times, and by different toms, over the 10 to 12-day laying period. She will move around to visit different gobblers and breed with the most dominant ones.

Hens can store sperm for 30 days, but viability drops rapidly (which is one reason why the more she breeds, the better the odds of a successful nest). Eggs laid within a few days after breeding do better than those laid with stored sperm.

Most hens are laying at the end of April thru May. Competition to breed is most intense as hens are laying. Disturbance and disruption from hunters during this period has more impact on total poult production for the year than does hunting during the latter half of April and in May.


Reduced gobbling

As toms are harvested, gobbling activity decreases: Fewer birds to gobble, and remaining birds gobble less because of disruption to the pecking order, and disturbance from hunting.

Nesting behavior of hens stimulates gobbling to increase, but this effect is weaker than the impact of hunter disturbance, which causes birds to gobble less. Net effect is less gobbling once hunting season opens even though hens are nesting.

Hunters remove the most vocal birds. Domestic breeders do this purposefully, and it works.

Nesting issues

“Predator swamping” is when all the hens lay their nests within the same few weeks, so that predators can’t get them all before the poults hatch. Also, a shorter nesting period means most poults are equally vulnerable at the same time, “swamping” the ability of local predators to get them all before they’re able to fly.

Breeding season disruption (discussed above) causes many hens to start their nests later, and a few will not attempt to nest at all.

If a hen loses her 1st nest early, she may re-nest, but these, 2nd or even 3rd attempts usually fail to produce poults that survive to the next spring.

When hens are starting their 1st nests over the course of several weeks, the predator swamping effect is lost.

If there is a big size difference in the poults that do survive, hens are less likely to group up their poults in late summer, which also increases their vulnerability to predation

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LETTERS TO THE PUBLIC

May 20, 2021 – Missouri Department of Conservation form letters sent to hundreds of Missourians in response to Missouri Wild Turkey decline.

“Because turkey abundance is driven by production" But in Missouri the experts say Wild Turkey Hens don't matter.
​

​Published in the Missouri Conservationist in April 1974 - 1974 - Bag limit reduced to 1 bird due to poor hatch in 1973 – History shows 500-year flood in 73. - 1974 - The Department’s major objective is the management of the wild turkey resource is to provide maximum hunting opportunity commensurate with the TURKEY POPULATION’S ABILITY TO SUSTAIN HARVEST.

To maintain a balance approximately 2.5 poults per hen must be produce.
When this ratio drops below 2.5 a population is decline indicated and when it goes above 2.5 an increase occurs.

The Adult / Juvenile ratio dropped in 1973 to 1:1.9 and that is why two bird limit was dropped in 1974.



MISSOURI RESEARCH

For the year 2000 - Note from the past Father of Wild Turkey Restoration in Missouri – MDC Biologist Vangilder - MANAGEMENT IMPLICATIONS - Nowhere is there an area in north Missouri of (15,000 ac) that is 70% timbered. Corn and soybean fields more than make up for the lack of trees and turkey densities in the northern part of the state are much higher than in the more heavily forested parts of south Missouri.

Average reproductive rates were much lower in the eastern Ozarks than in northern Missouri and do not appear to be sufficient to maintain population levels observed at the beginning of the study.
Biologists are sometimes forced to use data obtained from short-term, localized studies to model populations on large geographic areas. Often, the results obtained during these modeling efforts do not reflect actual changes in the population.


These types of problems are evident when comparing similar research between northern and southern Missouri. Obviously, average reproductive potential differs substantially between the 2 regions. Southern Missouri has a lower reproductive rate.
 
Missouri Hope is coming in another 4 years - Wild Turkey Research for the past 6 years and the next 4 years are in Northern Missouri.

THE SOLUTION IN 2026 & BEYOND – MDC Biologist “Once these questions are answered, we’ll be able to mitigate the challenges by MANIPULATIONG HABITAT to improve nest success and poult survival. This information would inform habitat management efforts on public and private lands in Missouri to increase turkey recruitment and ultimately abundance.”

So the solution is Habitat ONLY and in 2026 – They will be telling MISSOURI LANDOWNER how to manipulating habitat to improve nest success and poult survival. This information would inform habitat management efforts on public and private lands in Missouri to increase turkey recruitment and ultimately abundance.”


Missouri does have the Wild Turkey Study in Missouri on the Iowa Border – Year 1 – Only one slight issue – The same wildlife and habitat does not exist in Southern Missouri – Feral Hogs, Black Bear, Elk, Armadillo’s, or even large area of timber.

Only 21% of nests successfully hatched! Only 23% of poults surviving! - The 80s, that was closer to 46%.”
Which lower than the previous 5-year study in Northern Missouri.

​Wild Turkey Biologist - 78% nest initiation and 20% nest success. Not sustainable unless adult survival is incredibly high, which we know it isn’t. Those numbers parallel nearly all of the sites across the southeast."

Why did this happen in Missouri and information from MDC Biologist
"About 75% of nests failed due to predation of the actual nest, and 8% failed due to predation of the hen that was incubating the clutch"
​

Per Acre Raccoon Count
1.57 per acre
2.02 per acre
3.34 per acre
Opossum Count
.65 per acre
1.11 per acre
.93 per acre

PREDATORS
 
NEST PREDATION IS A LIMITING FACTOR IN WILD TURKEY POPULATIONS – Every Study done Raccoons are the primary nest predator.

1940 – 1941 – 834,935 pelts harvested (most pelts sold) (over 70% were opossum and skunk pelts) most pelts sold

1979 – 1980 – 634,338 (2nd highest pelts sold - when average raccoon pelt values were estimated at $27.50.

1997 – 1998 – Over 200,000 Raccoons trapped.

To maintain a balance approximately 2.5 poults per hen must be produce. When this ratio drops below 2.5 a population is decline indicated and when it goes above 2.5 an increase occurs.
Missouri – Just one Example of the primary egg eater of Wild Turkeys
 
Poult: Hen Ratio - Year -Raccoon Pelts Sold/Registered

2.6       1998    200,000
2.3       1999    107,267
2.3       2000    55,254
2.1       2001    50,254
1.7       2002    110,603
1.6       2003    103,550
1.6       2004    102,448
1.2       2005    116,396
1.6       2006    84,654
1.0       2007    122,155
1.1       2008    118,166
1.2       2009    122,155
1.1       2010    49,290
1.7       2011    109,586
1.7       2012    158,356
1.3       2013    138,865
1.7       2014    134,715
1.5       2015    85,497
0.8       2016    34,758
0.8       2017    32,106
0.9       2018    26,340
0.9       2019    22,562
1.0       2020    24,652
​

Now add in Bobcats, Coyotes, Opossum, Skunks, Foxes, and Crows, etc., etc. who population has only increased since the dismal fur markets relying on China and Russia.

2021 - The number of bald eagles in the lower 48 U.S. states — a population once on the brink of extinction, has quadrupled in the last dozen years to more than 316,000, federal wildlife officials – common sense tells you that Hawks and Owls must me at an all-time high. Multiple videos exist showing eagle and hawks attacking turkey decoys.

August 21, 2021 Wildlife biologist for the Missouri Department of Conservation “I’ve been doing this for 18 years now, and when I started, we were just starting to see armadillos around. We really were telling people, ‘We will get a couple harsh winters, and they’ll die off. They’re just not well equipped to survive our winter. They don’t store fat well.’ We were proven wrong about that, and I don’t say that anymore. Around 10 years ago, I stopped telling people that.”

What she does not say – NO study exist in Missouri with Wild Turkey hens are very susceptible to nest abandonment when flushed from the nest by a predator. Intentional flushes of known nests shows that upwards to 50% of all hens abandon their nests after only one contact.

Hens that don't abandon after the first event almost never, as high as 85%, suffer more than (2) flushes from the nest. Even the Tennessee Game Warden Video in 2021 shows Armadillo harassing hen on nest.



Habitat, Seed Coatings, Logging, Pesticides, Over Harvest, Predators land and air, modern weapons, and equipment whatever the reason does not really matter in Missouri.
What is the Missouri Wild Turkey Solution – HOPE – Unfortunately HOPE is not a strategy or a good turkey management policy”

Hope that a gobbler breeds a hen,
Hope if the hen lives to lay eggs,
Hope if the hen hatches the eggs,
Hope if the poults live to become adults,
Hope that the population will increase.

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Missouri Non-Resident Turkey Hunters for the 3 week season, Success 1 bird, Success and 2 bird for the past 5 years and overall season rankings for 2 and 3 week season for past 38 years.

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Missouri Turkey Season Permit Sales

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I absolutely believe that game and fish departments and conservation groups have become such government funding drug addicts that's why you never ever see them to include predator control.
It's habitat or nothing.
​
Because they can get money off of habitat and not predator control.
Both are equally important, when we now have Unnatural Predator Populations.

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Martin Game Lab and Tall Timbers
has the most informative, truth telling videos on predators that I have ever seen.

They even talk about the bias the Biologist are passing on to others.


https://www.facebook.com/GAMELabMartin/videos/4192679474139551/

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​Missouri Wild Turkey Habitat Initiative
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2022 Season - 25th Anniversary of the 3 Week Missouri Wild Turkey Season
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THE STATE OF THE MISSOURI WILD TURKEY 

MISSOURI WILD TURKEY HANDOUT
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THE RISE AND FALL OF THE MISSOURI WILD TURKEY
Missouri Wild Turkey Mecca Rest in Peace
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​2021 Spring Missouri Wild Turkey Season now holds the record of the worse season in 24-year history of a three-week season in Missouri.
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MISSOURI WILD TURKEY HUNTERS - LET YOUR VOICE BE HEARD
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Missouri Wild Turkey Harvest Records
Harvest, Youth Harvest, Permits, Non-Resident Permits, etc. etc. etc.
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History from 1st thru 11th -  Annual National Wild Turkey Symposium
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Missouri Wild Turkey Conservation
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Missouri Wild Turkey Research

The Missouri Department of Conservation tagged 72 Jakes and Gobblers in 7 counties during 2022 - Hunters killed 12 Jakes and Gobblers of those 72 in 5 counties during 2022.

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MISSOURI REAL WORLD VS MDC MYTHBUSTERS
 

MISSOURI CONSERVATION COMMISSION MEETING
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Missouri Quail and Wild Turkey


Missouri Wild Turkey Handout

This latest interview with Dr. Mike Chamberlain has everything to do with what's above - I can see it on my phone but will not work on my computer. Latest interview with Chamberlain https://fb.watch/dlNmpU4L37/

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Game Keepers podcast - Agenda - My agenda is not to see 2000 population but 2016 population with growing population.

I don't benefit from killing a hen in fall season with shotgun or bow or not having a fall season!

I don't benefit from a spring season or not having a spring season. I quite hunting turkey this year after 32 years because the population decline in my area is above 80%.

As it stand I still have 1 hen in the month of May and April on my place and that's it for the past 6 months. When people say killing a hen doesn't matter and you only have 1 - It kind of matters.

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